《Adaptive Markets》的原文摘录

  • 如果我们想了解当前的行为,我们需要了解过去的环境和选择压力,这些压力在时间的推移和几代人的试错中产生了这种行为。这一思想是适应性假说的本质,并且二元选择模型提供了一个方便简单的数学框架来捕获它。 (查看原文)
    简不易 1赞 2018-12-24 21:39:53
    —— 引自第164页
  • Traders who described more intense reactions to both losing and making money performed significantly worse than others. … These patterns tell us something about the stuff good traders are made of: more controlled emotional responses, including the ability to refrain from blaming (or lauding) oneself too much for trading outcomes. … If you take losses and gains to heart too much, attributing your daily profits and losses to your own devices rather than good or bad luck, you quickly burn out and become incapable of making sound financial decisions. (查看原文)
    目送飞鸿 1赞 2022-04-24 17:29:05
    —— 引自章节:Chapter 3 If Youre So Rich Why
  • The emerging narrative from the perspective of the AMH is that these errors used to be small, but have grown considerably in recent years. (查看原文)
    小南瓜 2017-12-30 22:40:59
    —— 引自第254页
  • Individuals didn't optimize -- they satisficed, making decisions that weren't always optimal, but were good enough. So called "bounded rationality" (查看原文)
    小南瓜 2017-12-30 22:48:09
    —— 引自第180页
  • First, life isn't fair, and you may as well get used to it now. Second this example isn't nearly as contrived as you might think. (查看原文)
    囚徒 2018-08-08 12:10:05
    —— 引自第59页