作者:
Michele Wucker 出版社: St. Martin's Press 副标题: How to Recognize and Act on the Obvious Dangers We Ignore 出版年: 2016-4-5 页数: 304 定价: USD 27.99 装帧: Hardcover ISBN: 9781250053824
A "gray rhino" is a highly probable, high impact yet neglected threat: kin to both the elephant in the room and the improbable and unforeseeable black swan. Gray rhinos are not random surprises, but occur after a series of warnings and visible evidence. The bursting of the housing bubble in 2008, the devastating aftermath of Hurricane Katrina and other natural disasters, the ne...
A "gray rhino" is a highly probable, high impact yet neglected threat: kin to both the elephant in the room and the improbable and unforeseeable black swan. Gray rhinos are not random surprises, but occur after a series of warnings and visible evidence. The bursting of the housing bubble in 2008, the devastating aftermath of Hurricane Katrina and other natural disasters, the new digital technologies that upended the media world, the fall of the Soviet Union...all were evident well in advance.
Why do leaders and decision makers keep failing to address obvious dangers before they spiral out of control? Drawing on her extensive background in policy formation and crisis management, as well as in-depth interviews with leaders from around the world, Michele Wucker shows in The Gray Rhino how to recognize and strategically counter looming high impact threats. Filled with persuasive stories, real-world examples, and practical advice, The Gray Rhino is essential reading for managers, investors, planners, policy makers, and anyone who wants to understand how to profit by avoiding getting trampled.
作者简介
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Michele Wucker is the author of Lockout: Why America Keeps Getting Immigration Wrong When Our Prosperity Depends on Getting It Right and Why the Cocks Fight: Dominicans, Haitians, and the Struggle for Hispaniola. Wucker has been recognized as a 2009 Young Global Leader of the World Economic Forum and a 2007 Guggenheim Fellow. She has held positions including president of the Ne...
Michele Wucker is the author of Lockout: Why America Keeps Getting Immigration Wrong When Our Prosperity Depends on Getting It Right and Why the Cocks Fight: Dominicans, Haitians, and the Struggle for Hispaniola. Wucker has been recognized as a 2009 Young Global Leader of the World Economic Forum and a 2007 Guggenheim Fellow. She has held positions including president of the New York City-based World Policy Institute; vice president of studies at The Chicago Council on Global Affairs; and Latin America bureau chief at International Financing Review. She has written for The New York Times, CNN, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal, and World Policy Journal, among others. She lives in Chicago.
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1 有用 不过如北 2017-09-04 16:54:10
大大提的“既防黑天鹅，又防灰犀牛”的说法是应景又准确的，但是这本用各种案例证明一个浅显道理的畅销书实在是没有意思啊。重点内容只读每章后面的Takeaways就可以了。
0 有用 浅草 2018-04-21 23:15:02
并不完全是cliche，那些案例还是很有意思的。高层若是真的都读过一遍，说不定将来可以避免很多决策失误。
0 有用 ukiyo 2019-09-03 07:43:55
作者讀很多東西文筆也還成，就是組織結構混亂而且有拿著這個那個說的話和數字硬掰一些觀點的嫌疑，又被騙稿費了
0 有用 大梦@Loss 2017-09-02 22:15:15
为一句话编出一整本书，东拉西扯各色案例，且每个案例都是事后诸葛亮。好不好出个续集，直接列举眼前的“灰犀牛”呢？（若不是为抱客户大腿，大周末缘何掐着头皮扫描这么乏味的机场鸡汤。）
0 有用 SJ 2025-03-14 11:02:28 安徽
作者文字很好，但是这本书没必要被写出来。有些书我们会说“它废话太多，一段话就能概括，却非要无意义地扩写”，但这本书，我觉得当你用一句话概括它之后，却发现这句话都是无意义的废话一句。