David Spiegelhalter is a British statistician and Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication in the Statistical Laboratory at the University of Cambridge. He was also elected as President of the Royal Statistical Society for 2017-18. In addition to presenting documentaries on BBC4, he has appeared on Infinite Monkey Cage, BBC Horizon, and the Life Scientific...
David Spiegelhalter is a British statistician and Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication in the Statistical Laboratory at the University of Cambridge. He was also elected as President of the Royal Statistical Society for 2017-18. In addition to presenting documentaries on BBC4, he has appeared on Infinite Monkey Cage, BBC Horizon, and the Life Scientific, and he has been a guest columnist in the Times, Guardian, and New Scientist. Spiegelhalter was knighted for his services to statistics in 2014. He lives in Cambridge, UK.
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1. Statistical methods should enable data to answer scientific questions: Ask 'why am I doing this?', rather than focusing on which particular technique to use
2. Signals always come with noise: It is trying to separate out the two that makes the subject interesting . Variability is inevitable, and probability models are useful as an abstraction
3. Plan ahead, really ahead: This includes the idea of pre-specification in confirmatory experiments - avoiding researcher degrees of freedom
4. Worry about data quality: Everything rests on the data.
5. Statistical analysis is more than a set of computations: Do not just plug into formulae or run procedures in software, without knowing why you are doing so
6. Keep it simple: The main communication should be as basic as possible - do not show... (查看原文)
还没人写过短评呢