The global financial crisis has made it painfully clear that powerful psychological forces are imperiling the wealth of nations today. From blind faith in ever-rising housing prices to plummeting confidence in capital markets, "animal spirits" are driving financial events worldwide. In this book, acclaimed economists George Akerlof and Robert Shiller challenge the economic wisd...
The global financial crisis has made it painfully clear that powerful psychological forces are imperiling the wealth of nations today. From blind faith in ever-rising housing prices to plummeting confidence in capital markets, "animal spirits" are driving financial events worldwide. In this book, acclaimed economists George Akerlof and Robert Shiller challenge the economic wisdom that got us into this mess, and put forward a bold new vision that will transform economics and restore prosperity. Akerlof and Shiller reassert the necessity of an active government role in economic policymaking by recovering the idea of animal spirits, a term John Maynard Keynes used to describe the gloom and despondence that led to the Great Depression and the changing psychology that accompanied recovery. Like Keynes, Akerlof and Shiller know that managing these animal spirits requires the steady hand of government--simply allowing markets to work won't do it. In rebuilding the case for a more robust, behaviorally informed Keynesianism, they detail the most pervasive effects of animal spirits in contemporary economic life--such as confidence, fear, bad faith, corruption, a concern for fairness, and the stories we tell ourselves about our economic fortunes--and show how Reaganomics, Thatcherism, and the rational expectations revolution failed to account for them."Animal Spirits" offers a road map for reversing the financial misfortunes besetting us today. Read it and learn how leaders can channel animal spirits--the powerful forces of human psychology that are afoot in the world economy today. In a new preface, they describe why our economic troubles may linger for some time--unless we are prepared to take further, decisive action.
作者简介
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George A. Akerlof is the Daniel E. Koshland Sr. Distinguished Professor of Economics at the University of California, Berkeley. He was awarded the 2001 Nobel Prize in economics.
Robert J. Shiller is the best-selling author of Irrational Exuberance and The Subprime Solution (both Princeton). He is the Arthur M. Okun Professor of Economics at Yale University.
1 有用 Macmania 2014-02-02 20:43:17
席勒这学期Econ116的课本,受益匪浅。有了些对非理性的新思路、新想法。不敢说有什么更深刻的理解,但确实有了些更全面的视角。ps 两位诺奖真心都是凯恩斯的“脑残粉”啊,lol... 席勒上课时还说但是有人怀疑凯恩斯是gay(丫和一个心理学家好上了),结果凯恩斯喜欢上一个俄罗斯的芭蕾舞女明星,然后下一张幻灯片就是凯恩斯和Lydia Lopokova 的照片,坐在台下我们想这个席勒老师真有意思,连这... 席勒这学期Econ116的课本,受益匪浅。有了些对非理性的新思路、新想法。不敢说有什么更深刻的理解,但确实有了些更全面的视角。ps 两位诺奖真心都是凯恩斯的“脑残粉”啊,lol... 席勒上课时还说但是有人怀疑凯恩斯是gay(丫和一个心理学家好上了),结果凯恩斯喜欢上一个俄罗斯的芭蕾舞女明星,然后下一张幻灯片就是凯恩斯和Lydia Lopokova 的照片,坐在台下我们想这个席勒老师真有意思,连这种八卦都要讲么... (展开)
1 有用 黛 2015-05-20 23:15:54
半本perface半本notes😪
1 有用 目送飞鸿 2015-10-10 16:47:40
基本是把两位作者此前的若干独立研究套用在了Animal Spirits这个名字底下,颇有拼凑的感觉。行文浅显易懂,但比起Schiller早前的Irrational Exuberance觉得还是差不少。社会心理、行为经济研究对宏观经济的改造很有必要。理性预期和有效市场假说早晚会树倒猢狲散。
0 有用 胡萝卜花之王 2019-07-18 22:38:17
生活/历史中的行为经济学,其实真往behavioral的方向想的话很多现象还挺intuitive的。从书中看到很有趣的观点是经济和商业如何受到编造出来的stories影响,理念如何被建构出来,人们自己如何相信这些理念并在其指导下行动。很受启发。
0 有用 Thomas Chan 2025-10-07 10:34:10 瑞士
总体来说 还是比Fama的EMH更容易接受,毕竟EMH不是一个可以验证的理论。本质上这本书就在讲 什么是bubble以及bubble的产生。行为经济学的确会比”EMH假设2008金融危机时 价格也是在反映当时的时刻的理性信息” 更容易让人接受。btw动物精神这个词最早不是shiller提出的 是Keynes 1936年就提出了(ps:我一直觉得了解经济学理论最efficient的方法还是直接you... 总体来说 还是比Fama的EMH更容易接受,毕竟EMH不是一个可以验证的理论。本质上这本书就在讲 什么是bubble以及bubble的产生。行为经济学的确会比”EMH假设2008金融危机时 价格也是在反映当时的时刻的理性信息” 更容易让人接受。btw动物精神这个词最早不是shiller提出的 是Keynes 1936年就提出了(ps:我一直觉得了解经济学理论最efficient的方法还是直接youtube搜原作者的访谈和演讲视频,基本上就很快知道他核心想表达什么了。shiller在诺奖lecture上20分钟的视频 基本上深入浅出) (展开)