Easy to follow, step-by-step introduction to infectious disease modelling and its applications
Accessible to most readers without advanced mathematical skills
Discusses a wide variety of infections including measles, rubella, mumps, influenza, HIV, gonorrhoea, HSV-2, tuberculosis and varicella
Worked examples and exercises based on real data and real-life problems
Downloadable model files set up in MS Excel and Berkeley Madonna
Glossary of key definitions, abbreviations and equations
Mathematical models are increasingly used to guide public health policy decisions and explore questions in infectious disease control. Written for readers without advanced mathematical skills, this book provides an excellent introduction to this exciting and growing area.
Drawing on examples from many diverse infections, the book guides readers step-by-step through the different types of models and the methods and data needed to set them up. It also covers the applications of modelling and the important insights that it has provided into the transmission and control of infections.
The chapters include easy-to-follow worked examples, together with exercises based on real data and real-life problems. Understanding is further enhanced by downloadable models, enabling readers to gain practical experience of modelling.
The book is based on material from popular courses developed by the authors over many years. It will be of interest to epidemiologists, public health researchers, policy makers, veterinary scientists, medical statisticians, health economists, infectious disease researchers, applied mathematicians, and those generally interested in mathematical modelling or infectious diseases.