Thinking, Fast and Slow的笔记(302)

>我来写笔记

按有用程度 按页码先后 最新笔记

  • arale

    arale

    每个人都能从认识的人里找出那么几位,做判断发评论不走脑子,事刚听个大概,言之凿凿的断语已经脱口而出,所谓说话没把门的。其他人,可能会腹诽一下:这人不靠谱。 其实,这种不靠谱正是我们思维工作方式的典型体现。第一时间的不走脑子判断,是人类本能之一。当然,分析再判断也是我们的能力,不过这种能力在不靠谱的人身上没怎么发挥就是了。 这就是这本书第一部分描述的两个系统:阿快和阿慢。 阿快是人的本能,一种...   (1回应)

    2012-07-17 02:23   13人喜欢

  • arale

    arale

    生命就像是一场告别 从起点对一切说再见 你拥有的仅仅是伤痕 在回望来路的时候 如果有一天 我老无所依 请把我留在 在那时光里 如果有一天 我悄然离去 请把我埋在 这春天里 两段汪峰的歌词,讲述了我们对记忆的依赖和无可奈何。记忆如同影子一样,既是我们最可靠的伙伴,也是挥之不去的幽灵。一束光就能映出一段过去,而我们从中不断获得力量或是折磨。 你明明已经离开那个女孩,远行到千里之外,可路边的一个长椅,橱窗..   (1回应)

    2012-07-16 01:34   6人喜欢

  • arale

    arale

    卡内曼博士就是凭这个,还有建立阿快阿慢相关理论拿的2002年诺贝尔经济学奖。 卡内曼博士之前的学者,普遍认同出生在荷兰的瑞士人倍努力(Bernoulli)的utility theory。Utility是一个preference,更大的utility意味着人更愿意作出这个选择(wiki:对于消费者通过消费或者享受闲暇等使自己的需求、欲望等得到的满足的一个度)。Utility这东西,没法直接测量,比如怎么测你想买一双鞋的欲望指数?所以只能通过试验观察人们的选择...   (2回应)

    2012-07-14 06:03   3人喜欢

  • [已注销]

    [已注销]

    You cannot help dealing with the limited information you have as if it were all there is to know. You build the best possible story from the information available to you, and if it is a good story, you believe it. Paradoxically, it is easier to construct a coherent story when you know little, when there are fewer pieces to fit into the puzzle. Our comforting conviction that the world makes sense r...   (1回应)

    2013-09-07 20:20   3人喜欢

  • 大毛光光头

    大毛光光头 (必须强人所难)

    Kahnemann和Amos Tversky的友情,即使是他们的妻儿也会嫉妒的,他们待在一起的时间怕比陪在妻儿身边的时间还长。 人们倾向于忽略base rate,夸大典型性的影响。 我们可能对"显然"视而不见,而且我们也无视了我们的无视。 System 1 和 System 2的分工: System 1是自动的,不费劲的,System 2 是费劲的,需要主动开启的,通常是低电压运行,除非遇到System 1 搞..

    2012-12-03 15:50   2人喜欢

  • 予秋

    予秋

    P274 His utility function explained why poor people buy insurance and why richer people sell it them. As you can see in the table, the loss of 1 million causes a loss of 4 points of utility (from 100 to 96) to someone who has 10 million and a much larger loss of 18 points (from 48 to 30) to someone who starts off with 3 million. The poorer man will happily pay a premium to transfer the risk to the...

    2014-08-22 17:00   1人喜欢

  • [已注销]

    [已注销]

    3 principles that govern the value of outcomes 1. Evaluation is relative to a neutral reference point, which is sometimes referred to as an "adaptation level." 2. A principle of diminishing sensitivity applies to both sensor dimensions and the evaluation of changes of wealth. 3. The third principle is loss aversion. When directly compared or weighted against each other, losses loom la...

    2013-09-30 21:10   1人喜欢

  • [已注销]

    [已注销]

    When a human competes with a machine, whether it is John Henry a-hammerin' on the mountain or the chess genius Garry Kasparov facing off against the computer Deep Blue, our sympathies lie with our fellow human. The aversion to algorithms making decisions that affect humans is rooted in the strong preference that many people have for the natural over the synthetic or artificial. The prejudice agai...

    2013-09-08 13:58   1人喜欢

  • [已注销]

    [已注销]

    Edge向一些科学家征询他们最爱的方程,Kahneman大人给的是: success = talent + luck great success = a little more talent + a lot of luck #人艰不拆#

    2013-08-30 21:15   1人喜欢

  • [已注销]

    [已注销]

    the law of small numbers is part of two larger stories about the workings of the mind. - The exaggerated faith in small samples is only one example of a more general illusion -- we pay more attention to the content of messages than to information about their reliability, and as a result end up with a view of the world around us that is simpler and more coherent than the data justify. Jumping to c...

    2013-08-15 22:37   1人喜欢

<前页 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 ... 30 31 后页>

笔记是你写在书页留白边上的内容;是你阅读中的批注、摘抄及随感。

笔记必须是自己所写,不欢迎转载。摘抄原文的部分应该进行特殊标明。

Thinking, Fast and Slow

>Thinking, Fast and Slow