Name: In an Uncertain World
ISBN: 9780375757303

作者: Robert Rubin / Jacob Weisberg
出版社: Random House Trade Paperbacks
副标题: Tough Choices from Wall Street to Washington
出版年: 2004-9-7
页数: 472
定价: USD 18.00
装帧: Paperback
ISBN: 9780375757303

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内容简介 · · · · · ·

Robert Rubin was sworn in as the seventieth U.S. Secretary of the Treasury in January 1995 in a brisk ceremony attended only by his wife and a few colleagues. As soon as the ceremony was over, he began an emergency meeting with President Bill Clinton on the financial crisis in Mexico. This was not only a harbinger of things to come during what would prove to be a rocky period i...

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From his early years in the storied arbitrage department at Goldman Sachs to his current position as chairman of the executive committee of Citigroup, Robert Rubin has been a major figure at the center of the American financial system. He was a key player in the longest economic expansion in U.S. history. With In an Uncertain World , Rubin offers a shrewd, keen analysis of some of the most important events in recent American history and presents a clear, consistent approach to thinking about markets and dealing with the new risks of the global economy.

Rubin's fundamental philosophy is that nothing is provably certain. Probabilistic thinking has guided his career in both business and government. We see that discipline at work in meetings with President Clinton and Hillary Clinton, Chinese premier Zhu Rongji, Alan Greenspan, Lawrence Summers, Newt Gingrich, Sanford Weill, and the late Daniel Patrick Moynihan. We see Rubin apply it time and again while facing financial crises in Asia, Russia, and Brazil; the federal government shutdown; the rise and fall of the stock market; the challenges of the post-September 11 world; the ongoing struggle over fiscal policy; and many other momentous economic and political events.

With a compelling and candid voice and a sharp eye for detail, Rubin portrays the daily life of the White House-confronting matters both mighty and mundane--as astutely as he examines the challenges that lie ahead for the nation. Part political memoir, part prescriptive economic analysis, and part personal look at business problems, In an Uncertain World is a deep examination of Washington and Wall Street by a figure who for three decades has been at the center of both worlds.

From the Hardcover edition.

In an Uncertain World的创作者 · · · · · ·

罗伯特·鲁宾作者

作者简介 · · · · · ·

雷德·海斯蒂（Reid Hastie）毕业于加州大学圣迭戈分校和耶鲁大学，在哈佛大学开始其学术工作，积极寻求校外研究的机会，在医院和法庭中展开关于医疗和法律决策的研究。他的研究兴趣在于认知心理学的方法和理论在判断决策方面的应用。他终生致力于现实情境中的研究，包括医疗决策、法律决策、天气预报、消费者和商业金融决策等领域。

罗宾·道斯（Robyn M. Dawes）于1958年获得哈佛大学哲学学士，后进入密歇根大学临床心理学系。两年后，他怀着对行为决策、社会互动和态度测量的兴趣进入了数学心理学系（1963年获得博士），并在数学方面完成了研究生教育。1985年秋转到卡耐基梅隆大学，在社会和决策科学系担任心理学教授，他现在是Charles J. Queenan，Jr. 大学的教授。道斯发表过150多篇论文、出版了6部书籍。

原文摘录 · · · · · · ( 全部 )

研究最重要的发现是：不同个体在不同决策情境下的思考方式是相同的。 (查看原文)

Moon Sea 1 回复 18赞 2014-04-29 10:51:55

—— 引自第1页
什么是思维？简而言之，它是针对那些并不存在于即时环境中的事物所创造的心理表征。 (查看原文)

Moon Sea 1 回复 18赞 2014-04-29 10:51:55

—— 引自第1页