作者:
Robert Rubin
/
Jacob Weisberg 出版社: Random House Trade Paperbacks 副标题: Tough Choices from Wall Street to Washington 出版年: 2004-9-7 页数: 472 定价: USD 18.00 装帧: Paperback ISBN: 9780375757303
Robert Rubin was sworn in as the seventieth U.S. Secretary of the Treasury in January 1995 in a brisk ceremony attended only by his wife and a few colleagues. As soon as the ceremony was over, he began an emergency meeting with President Bill Clinton on the financial crisis in Mexico. This was not only a harbinger of things to come during what would prove to be a rocky period i...
Robert Rubin was sworn in as the seventieth U.S. Secretary of the Treasury in January 1995 in a brisk ceremony attended only by his wife and a few colleagues. As soon as the ceremony was over, he began an emergency meeting with President Bill Clinton on the financial crisis in Mexico. This was not only a harbinger of things to come during what would prove to be a rocky period in the global economy; it also captured the essence of Rubin himself--short on formality, quick to get into the nitty-gritty.
From his early years in the storied arbitrage department at Goldman Sachs to his current position as chairman of the executive committee of Citigroup, Robert Rubin has been a major figure at the center of the American financial system. He was a key player in the longest economic expansion in U.S. history. With In an Uncertain World , Rubin offers a shrewd, keen analysis of some of the most important events in recent American history and presents a clear, consistent approach to thinking about markets and dealing with the new risks of the global economy.
Rubin's fundamental philosophy is that nothing is provably certain. Probabilistic thinking has guided his career in both business and government. We see that discipline at work in meetings with President Clinton and Hillary Clinton, Chinese premier Zhu Rongji, Alan Greenspan, Lawrence Summers, Newt Gingrich, Sanford Weill, and the late Daniel Patrick Moynihan. We see Rubin apply it time and again while facing financial crises in Asia, Russia, and Brazil; the federal government shutdown; the rise and fall of the stock market; the challenges of the post-September 11 world; the ongoing struggle over fiscal policy; and many other momentous economic and political events.
With a compelling and candid voice and a sharp eye for detail, Rubin portrays the daily life of the White House-confronting matters both mighty and mundane--as astutely as he examines the challenges that lie ahead for the nation. Part political memoir, part prescriptive economic analysis, and part personal look at business problems, In an Uncertain World is a deep examination of Washington and Wall Street by a figure who for three decades has been at the center of both worlds.
Author : Robert E. Rubin 1. " More important, I hope my experience and reflections might be of some interest and utility to others." 2.The public sectors, especially the Treasury have to describe what was happening without being inflammatory. 3." The determination of the meaning of the word is often difficult without the context." 4. "Emotion, like instinct not moored in analysis, could be misl...
2016-04-18 15:17:48
Author : Robert E. Rubin
1. " More important, I hope my experience and reflections might be of some interest and utility to others."
2.The public sectors, especially the Treasury have to describe what was happening without being inflammatory.
3." The determination of the meaning of the word is often difficult without the context."
4. "Emotion, like instinct not moored in analysis, could be misleading."
5." I wasn't ready to roll up my sleeves and cope with the stress of it after having just finished four intense years of college.
6. Study the Black-Scholes formula.
7. To be a good trader, you should always examine the assumption or limitation of all the models which is almost the most important.
8. Also, we should consider that the psychological and other factors can create distortions that last a long time. "You can be right in the long run and dead in the short run."
9. It is also crucial to reevaluate your positions as the economic and market outlook changed.
10. To be a CEO of an investment bank, you should think about the people in the trading room and in sales about their concerns and views, and how to enable them to be successful, of course, including your professional skill. In this way, you will not be limited to a trader but could become more involved in the life of the firm as well.
11. " In politics a lot of people promise to do something, but very few actually do it. If you don't want to do what you're asked, just say no. But if you say you're going to do something, following through will set you apart." ----- Robert Strauss, the treasurer of Democratic National Committee
12. If the US government want to public a progressive program which they want, they will firstly do something to express the public audiences. So when next we see a government claim, we should first judge whether it is on purpose or just a sign that want the public accept their further program as well.
13. Sometimes, the reaction or the way you sounded will give a lot of information whether you can be beat or not. So never show too much about your feeling inside through the meeting.
14.When the government set a goal, they always concern a vast of priorities. So when we want to forecast a government decision, we need to think as more interests and priorities as possible to figure out the own purpose of the governor.
14. The US government think Chinese government is tough and unresponsive to the pressure. But Obama seems to give more pressure on China, they must want to test how much pressure China can bear and how much harmful they can bear. That is a negative signal and lesson for the US next generation.
15. When the financial crisis happened, the US first think about whether this country is its allay but not the economic status of this country. So that is unfair and unchangeable. But we can use this point to hold the US.
16. " Never let your rhetoric commit you to something you cannot deliver."
After graduation, I sent a tongue-in-cheek letter to the dean of admissions at Princeton, to which I had not been accepted four years earlier. "I imagine you track the people you graduate," I wrote. "I thought you might be interested to know what happened to one of the people you rejected. I just wanted to tell you that I graduated from Harvard summa cum laude and Phi Beta Kappa." The dean wrot...
2013-07-21 11:47:46
After graduation, I sent a tongue-in-cheek letter to the dean of admissions at Princeton, to which I had not been accepted four years earlier. "I imagine you track the people you graduate," I wrote. "I thought you might be interested to know what happened to one of the people you rejected. I just wanted to tell you that I graduated from Harvard summa cum laude and Phi Beta Kappa." The dean wrote me back, "Thank you for your note. Every year, we at Princeton feel it is our duty to reject a certain number of highly qualified people so that Harvard can have some good students too."引自 A market education
After graduation, I sent a tongue-in-cheek letter to the dean of admissions at Princeton, to which I had not been accepted four years earlier. "I imagine you track the people you graduate," I wrote. "I thought you might be interested to know what happened to one of the people you rejected. I just wanted to tell you that I graduated from Harvard summa cum laude and Phi Beta Kappa." The dean wrot...
2013-07-21 11:47:46
After graduation, I sent a tongue-in-cheek letter to the dean of admissions at Princeton, to which I had not been accepted four years earlier. "I imagine you track the people you graduate," I wrote. "I thought you might be interested to know what happened to one of the people you rejected. I just wanted to tell you that I graduated from Harvard summa cum laude and Phi Beta Kappa." The dean wrote me back, "Thank you for your note. Every year, we at Princeton feel it is our duty to reject a certain number of highly qualified people so that Harvard can have some good students too."引自 A market education
Author : Robert E. Rubin 1. " More important, I hope my experience and reflections might be of some interest and utility to others." 2.The public sectors, especially the Treasury have to describe what was happening without being inflammatory. 3." The determination of the meaning of the word is often difficult without the context." 4. "Emotion, like instinct not moored in analysis, could be misl...
2016-04-18 15:17:48
Author : Robert E. Rubin
1. " More important, I hope my experience and reflections might be of some interest and utility to others."
2.The public sectors, especially the Treasury have to describe what was happening without being inflammatory.
3." The determination of the meaning of the word is often difficult without the context."
4. "Emotion, like instinct not moored in analysis, could be misleading."
5." I wasn't ready to roll up my sleeves and cope with the stress of it after having just finished four intense years of college.
6. Study the Black-Scholes formula.
7. To be a good trader, you should always examine the assumption or limitation of all the models which is almost the most important.
8. Also, we should consider that the psychological and other factors can create distortions that last a long time. "You can be right in the long run and dead in the short run."
9. It is also crucial to reevaluate your positions as the economic and market outlook changed.
10. To be a CEO of an investment bank, you should think about the people in the trading room and in sales about their concerns and views, and how to enable them to be successful, of course, including your professional skill. In this way, you will not be limited to a trader but could become more involved in the life of the firm as well.
11. " In politics a lot of people promise to do something, but very few actually do it. If you don't want to do what you're asked, just say no. But if you say you're going to do something, following through will set you apart." ----- Robert Strauss, the treasurer of Democratic National Committee
12. If the US government want to public a progressive program which they want, they will firstly do something to express the public audiences. So when next we see a government claim, we should first judge whether it is on purpose or just a sign that want the public accept their further program as well.
13. Sometimes, the reaction or the way you sounded will give a lot of information whether you can be beat or not. So never show too much about your feeling inside through the meeting.
14.When the government set a goal, they always concern a vast of priorities. So when we want to forecast a government decision, we need to think as more interests and priorities as possible to figure out the own purpose of the governor.
14. The US government think Chinese government is tough and unresponsive to the pressure. But Obama seems to give more pressure on China, they must want to test how much pressure China can bear and how much harmful they can bear. That is a negative signal and lesson for the US next generation.
15. When the financial crisis happened, the US first think about whether this country is its allay but not the economic status of this country. So that is unfair and unchangeable. But we can use this point to hold the US.
16. " Never let your rhetoric commit you to something you cannot deliver."
Author : Robert E. Rubin 1. " More important, I hope my experience and reflections might be of some interest and utility to others." 2.The public sectors, especially the Treasury have to describe what was happening without being inflammatory. 3." The determination of the meaning of the word is often difficult without the context." 4. "Emotion, like instinct not moored in analysis, could be misl...
2016-04-18 15:17:48
Author : Robert E. Rubin
1. " More important, I hope my experience and reflections might be of some interest and utility to others."
2.The public sectors, especially the Treasury have to describe what was happening without being inflammatory.
3." The determination of the meaning of the word is often difficult without the context."
4. "Emotion, like instinct not moored in analysis, could be misleading."
5." I wasn't ready to roll up my sleeves and cope with the stress of it after having just finished four intense years of college.
6. Study the Black-Scholes formula.
7. To be a good trader, you should always examine the assumption or limitation of all the models which is almost the most important.
8. Also, we should consider that the psychological and other factors can create distortions that last a long time. "You can be right in the long run and dead in the short run."
9. It is also crucial to reevaluate your positions as the economic and market outlook changed.
10. To be a CEO of an investment bank, you should think about the people in the trading room and in sales about their concerns and views, and how to enable them to be successful, of course, including your professional skill. In this way, you will not be limited to a trader but could become more involved in the life of the firm as well.
11. " In politics a lot of people promise to do something, but very few actually do it. If you don't want to do what you're asked, just say no. But if you say you're going to do something, following through will set you apart." ----- Robert Strauss, the treasurer of Democratic National Committee
12. If the US government want to public a progressive program which they want, they will firstly do something to express the public audiences. So when next we see a government claim, we should first judge whether it is on purpose or just a sign that want the public accept their further program as well.
13. Sometimes, the reaction or the way you sounded will give a lot of information whether you can be beat or not. So never show too much about your feeling inside through the meeting.
14.When the government set a goal, they always concern a vast of priorities. So when we want to forecast a government decision, we need to think as more interests and priorities as possible to figure out the own purpose of the governor.
14. The US government think Chinese government is tough and unresponsive to the pressure. But Obama seems to give more pressure on China, they must want to test how much pressure China can bear and how much harmful they can bear. That is a negative signal and lesson for the US next generation.
15. When the financial crisis happened, the US first think about whether this country is its allay but not the economic status of this country. So that is unfair and unchangeable. But we can use this point to hold the US.
16. " Never let your rhetoric commit you to something you cannot deliver."
After graduation, I sent a tongue-in-cheek letter to the dean of admissions at Princeton, to which I had not been accepted four years earlier. "I imagine you track the people you graduate," I wrote. "I thought you might be interested to know what happened to one of the people you rejected. I just wanted to tell you that I graduated from Harvard summa cum laude and Phi Beta Kappa." The dean wrot...
2013-07-21 11:47:46
After graduation, I sent a tongue-in-cheek letter to the dean of admissions at Princeton, to which I had not been accepted four years earlier. "I imagine you track the people you graduate," I wrote. "I thought you might be interested to know what happened to one of the people you rejected. I just wanted to tell you that I graduated from Harvard summa cum laude and Phi Beta Kappa." The dean wrote me back, "Thank you for your note. Every year, we at Princeton feel it is our duty to reject a certain number of highly qualified people so that Harvard can have some good students too."引自 A market education
我的剑会笑
中国社会科学出版社2004版
peter
中国社会科学出版社2004版
simpson
中国社会科学出版社2004版
中线投资者
中国社会科学出版社2004版
Promise
中国社会科学出版社2004版
amy考拉
0 有用 8000LL 2008-04-24 20:19:26
Key words: no proved certainty, probabilisitic thinking, confidence and credibility in handling a crisis. Greed, fear, complancency.
1 有用 Dubos 2010-03-16 19:51:26
这是一大串儿对冲基金经理的导师，不过我还是喜欢学者甚于这种人
0 有用 williamyu 2016-04-18 15:17:43
Nearly forgot, one of the first intro books I read about Wall
0 有用 N 2012-06-22 22:04:09
共鸣如出一辙...
2 有用 宝宝TWO 2016-12-22 12:10:34
对我来说，传记都是垃圾，不管是谁的
0 有用 Yasmine 2020-01-14 22:42:25
the mixture of seriousness and irreverence...greatest opportunities often lie in going against trends...真是一本增智的书…
0 有用 flying1day 2018-01-28 18:46:42
Some parts are really difficult to read, some parts are very interesting. In general, worths my time. [2018 book 1]
2 有用 宝宝TWO 2016-12-22 12:10:34
对我来说，传记都是垃圾，不管是谁的
0 有用 williamyu 2016-04-18 15:17:43
Nearly forgot, one of the first intro books I read about Wall
2 有用 rink 2015-11-01 10:17:33
读过中文版。 书中讲到他个人的成长历程，值得借鉴，但更主要的更值得学习的是他如何做决策的观点，特别是在没有（也无法掌握）完全信息的情况下，如何处理危机。他在财长任中正赶上亚洲金融危机，得以大显身手。本书不仅对目前全球金融危机是及时的参照，也是一个人成长过程中的上好的养料。