出版社: Princeton University Press
副标题: Good Fortune and the Myth of Meritocracy
出版年: 2016-4-19
页数: 208
定价: USD 26.95
装帧: Hardcover
ISBN: 9780691167404
内容简介 · · · · · ·
How important is luck in economic success? No question more reliably divides conservatives from liberals. As conservatives correctly observe, people who amass great fortunes are almost always talented and hardworking. But liberals are also correct to note that countless others have those same qualities yet never earn much. In recent years, social scientists have discovered that...
How important is luck in economic success? No question more reliably divides conservatives from liberals. As conservatives correctly observe, people who amass great fortunes are almost always talented and hardworking. But liberals are also correct to note that countless others have those same qualities yet never earn much. In recent years, social scientists have discovered that chance plays a much larger role in important life outcomes than most people imagine. In Success and Luck, bestselling author and New York Times economics columnist Robert Frank explores the surprising implications of those findings to show why the rich underestimate the importance of luck in success—and why that hurts everyone, even the wealthy.
Frank describes how, in a world increasingly dominated by winner-take-all markets, chance opportunities and trivial initial advantages often translate into much larger ones—and enormous income differences—over time; how false beliefs about luck persist, despite compelling evidence against them; and how myths about personal success and luck shape individual and political choices in harmful ways.
But, Frank argues, we could decrease the inequality driven by sheer luck by adopting simple, unintrusive policies that would free up trillions of dollars each year—more than enough to fix our crumbling infrastructure, expand healthcare coverage, fight global warming, and reduce poverty, all without requiring painful sacrifices from anyone. If this sounds implausible, you'll be surprised to discover that the solution requires only a few, noncontroversial steps.
Compellingly readable, Success and Luck shows how a more accurate understanding of the role of chance in life could lead to better, richer, and fairer economies and societies.
作者简介 · · · · · ·
Robert H. Frank is the H. J. Louis Professor of Management and Professor of Economics at Cornell University's Johnson School of Management. He has been an Economic View columnist for the New York Times for more than a decade and his books include The Winner-Take-All Society (with Philip J. Cook), The Economic Naturalist, The Darwin Economy (Princeton), and Principles of Economi...
Robert H. Frank is the H. J. Louis Professor of Management and Professor of Economics at Cornell University's Johnson School of Management. He has been an Economic View columnist for the New York Times for more than a decade and his books include The Winner-Take-All Society (with Philip J. Cook), The Economic Naturalist, The Darwin Economy (Princeton), and Principles of Economics (with Ben S. Bernanke). He lives in Ithaca, New York.
目录 · · · · · ·
Acknowledgments xix
1 Write What You Know 1
2 Why Seemingly Trivial Random Events Matter 21
3 How Winner-Take-All Markets Magnify Luck’s Role 40
4 Why the Biggest Winners Are Almost Always Lucky 56
· · · · · · (更多)
Acknowledgments xix
1 Write What You Know 1
2 Why Seemingly Trivial Random Events Matter 21
3 How Winner-Take-All Markets Magnify Luck’s Role 40
4 Why the Biggest Winners Are Almost Always Lucky 56
5 Why False Beliefs about Luck and Talent Persist 69
6 The Burden of False Beliefs 86
7 We’re in Luck: A Golden Opportunity 109
8 Being Grateful 128
Appendix 1: Detailed Simulation Results for Chapter 4 151
Appendix 2: Frequently Asked Questions about the Progressive Consumption Tax 158
Notes 173
Index 183
· · · · · · (收起)
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Success and Luck的书评 · · · · · · ( 全部 34 条 )
在努力的尽头撞上运气
3星|《成功与运气》:运气的作用经常被成功者忽略,承认运气的作用会让成功者更成功
成功来自勤奋还是运气?为什么成功以后需要感恩?
这篇书评可能有关键情节透露
2017年8月,笔者有幸采访了美国康奈尔大学的经济学和管理学教授,罗伯特·弗兰克先生。 在我们的对话中,我们谈到了弗兰克教授的新书《成功与运气》(Success and Luck)。该书的中文版会在2017年下半年出版。 在这本书中,弗兰克教授提出,很多人的成功,带有很大的运气成分。... (展开)“可不可以不那么成功,也不那么运气?”
一句话总结:没有运气,能力和努力都不会让你成功
这篇书评可能有关键情节透露
人们常说:“成功是因为我有能力且够努力,失败是因为我运气不好”。 《黑天鹅》作者统计学家纳西姆·塔勒布(Nassim Taleb)就描述过这种在投资者中普遍存在的“积极认知”(Motirated Cognition):人们倾向自我感觉良好,高估自身能力而将失败归因于无法控制的因素,这会让... (展开)> 更多书评 34篇
论坛 · · · · · ·
在这本书的论坛里发言这本书的其他版本 · · · · · · ( 全部3 )
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北京联合出版公司 (2017)6.7分 723人读过
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Princeton University Press (2017)暂无评分 3人读过
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订阅关于Success and Luck的评论:
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0 有用 光合作用 2017-01-04 19:29:04
听
0 有用 Yifei 2016-05-02 09:09:58
写得很好,通俗易懂。
0 有用 LennuiSansFin 2018-02-01 17:24:20
went to Robert's signing lecture at Stern. got this book signed by him in person. Great lecture, very thought-provoking
0 有用 Clara 2022-01-09 23:19:49
nothing new
0 有用 zxit2 2017-08-23 11:38:51
“检验一流智力的标准,就是看你能不能在头脑中同时存在两种相反的想法,还维持正常行事的能力。”——了不起的盖茨比
0 有用 六月雪 2024-06-02 12:53:02 上海
1、个人运气的规律大约有三条,我们称之为“运气动力学”:运气可以放大;运气可以累加;竞争越激烈,运气越重要。2、如果你在某个领域中,能表现得比所有人都高出一点点,也许你的收入就会比所有人都高出很多倍。所以现代社会也是运气越来越有用的时代。3、抑郁,也许就是当你能清醒地认识到生活真相的时候,你产生的情绪。这个情绪挺难受的,所以我们这些“正常人”都用自己骗自己的方法在生活中前行。我们应当调用“一流智力... 1、个人运气的规律大约有三条,我们称之为“运气动力学”:运气可以放大;运气可以累加;竞争越激烈,运气越重要。2、如果你在某个领域中,能表现得比所有人都高出一点点,也许你的收入就会比所有人都高出很多倍。所以现代社会也是运气越来越有用的时代。3、抑郁,也许就是当你能清醒地认识到生活真相的时候,你产生的情绪。这个情绪挺难受的,所以我们这些“正常人”都用自己骗自己的方法在生活中前行。我们应当调用“一流智力”来看待运气。4、族群中每个个体为了争夺相对地位而搞的军备竞赛,有时候对族群整体反而有害。5、一个成功者,初等的要求是不骄横,高等的要求是要主动回报社会。 (展开)
0 有用 Jimmy47 2022-08-22 07:32:24 黑龙江
得到听书 首先,在人生的早期关键节点上,好运气对后续的成功有很大的放大效应,而且这种运气效应可以一直累加。 第二,现在是一个赢者通吃的年代,一开始一点微弱的优势,造就了最后的赢家通吃,而这点微弱的优势通常是靠运气。 第三,人总是把成功归因于能力强,而把失败归因于运气差。这种乐观如果没有成功就是需要的,如果已经成功就不需要了。 第四个,是运气造成了赢者通吃,收入差距过大,这造成了人们的互相攀... 得到听书 首先,在人生的早期关键节点上,好运气对后续的成功有很大的放大效应,而且这种运气效应可以一直累加。 第二,现在是一个赢者通吃的年代,一开始一点微弱的优势,造就了最后的赢家通吃,而这点微弱的优势通常是靠运气。 第三,人总是把成功归因于能力强,而把失败归因于运气差。这种乐观如果没有成功就是需要的,如果已经成功就不需要了。 第四个,是运气造成了赢者通吃,收入差距过大,这造成了人们的互相攀比。 最后一个是,一个承认运气的人,自然不会去抢别人的功劳,那么合作者就会信任他。 (展开)
0 有用 🐟🐟ly 2022-05-05 03:04:59
实际上是想推广消费税
0 有用 Clara 2022-01-09 23:19:49
nothing new
0 有用 o 2021-05-19 21:38:39
运气、成功与谦卑