出版社: Hachette Books
副标题: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity
出版年: 2020-3-24
页数: 304
定价: USD 22.60
装帧: Hardcover
ISBN: 9780316484916
内容简介 · · · · · ·
If all goes well, human history is just beginning. Our species could survive for billions of years - enough time to end disease, poverty, and injustice, and to flourish in ways unimaginable today. But this vast future is at risk. With the advent of nuclear weapons, humanity entered a new age, where we face existential catastrophes - those from which we could never come back. Si...
If all goes well, human history is just beginning. Our species could survive for billions of years - enough time to end disease, poverty, and injustice, and to flourish in ways unimaginable today. But this vast future is at risk. With the advent of nuclear weapons, humanity entered a new age, where we face existential catastrophes - those from which we could never come back. Since then, these dangers have only multiplied, from climate change to engineered pathogens and artificial intelligence. If we do not act fast to reach a place of safety, it will soon be too late.
Drawing on over a decade of research, The Precipice explores the cutting-edge science behind the risks we face. It puts them in the context of the greater story of humanity: showing how ending these risks is among the most pressing moral issues of our time. And it points the way forward, to the actions and strategies that can safeguard humanity.
An Oxford philosopher committed to putting ideas into action, Toby Ord has advised the US National Intelligence Council, the UK Prime Minister's Office, and the World Bank on the biggest questions facing humanity. In The Precipice, he offers a startling reassessment of human history, the future we are failing to protect, and the steps we must take to ensure that our generation is not the last.
作者简介 · · · · · ·
Toby Ord is a philosopher at Oxford University, working on the big picture questions facing humanity. His earlier work explored the ethics of global poverty, leading him to make a lifelong pledge to donate 10% of his income to the most effective charities helping improve the world. He created a society, Giving What We Can, for people to join this mission, and together its membe...
Toby Ord is a philosopher at Oxford University, working on the big picture questions facing humanity. His earlier work explored the ethics of global poverty, leading him to make a lifelong pledge to donate 10% of his income to the most effective charities helping improve the world. He created a society, Giving What We Can, for people to join this mission, and together its members have pledged over $1.5 billion. He then broadened these ideas by co-founding the Effective Altruism movement in which thousands of people are using reason and evidence to help the lives of others as much as possible. His current research is on risks that threaten human extinction or the permanent collapse of civilization, and on how to safeguard humanity through these dangers, which he considers to be among the most pressing and neglected issues we face. Toby has advised the World Health Organization, the World Bank, the World Economic Forum, the US National Intelligence Council, and the UK Prime Minister's Office.
原文摘录 · · · · · ·
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The Precipice的书评 · · · · · · ( 全部 6 条 )
面对生存的不确定性,关键在于对残酷现实的前瞻性和应对思维
生存还是毁灭,这是一个值得思考的问题!
未来100年,人类出现生存性风险的概率有1/6?我们应该做些什么?
看危崖,再观俄乌冲突事件
这篇书评可能有关键情节透露
曾经一段时间,灾难片大火不论是自然灾害的《后天》、《末日坍塌》,还是讲述病毒类的《生化危机》、讲述外星人入侵的《明日边缘》等等。 这些影片都是体现出人类大灾难面前的人性和行为,给人们带来警示与思考,对于我们也只是生活的调剂,看看便罢,毕竟这些所谓的灾难离我们... (展开)汤加火山与人类的未来
这篇书评可能有关键情节透露
汤加火山再次喷发,看过的朋友应该都重新感受到了人类在大自然面前的渺小。 上篇推文刚聊过的电影《不要抬头》讲的是彗星撞地球,现在是现实世界的火山喷发,再加上不知何时结束的疫情,和不久前才席卷世界各地的暴雨,过去仅在科幻电影中不断上演的情节,似乎不再那么科幻了。... (展开)> 更多书评 6篇
论坛 · · · · · ·
在这本书的论坛里发言这本书的其他版本 · · · · · · ( 全部2 )
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中信出版社·新思文化 (2021)7.4分 58人读过
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二手市场
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订阅关于The Precipice的评论:
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0 有用 DerLetzteLord 2022-04-21 09:54:04
This book argues that safeguarding humanity future is the defining challenge of our time.for we stand at a crucial moment in the history of our species.fueled by technological progress.our power has g... This book argues that safeguarding humanity future is the defining challenge of our time.for we stand at a crucial moment in the history of our species.fueled by technological progress.our power has grown so great that for the first time in humanity’s long history.we have the capacity to destroy ourselves-severing our entire future and everything . (展开)
0 有用 浮冰枕词 2021-10-09 10:19:26
行文是我喜欢的风格哈哈哈,枚举各种risks粗略了解一下还是挺有趣的
0 有用 所以然 2023-03-27 11:58:09 上海
长期主义贩卖焦虑
1 有用 镜花 2020-08-30 05:20:26
看第一二章哲学讨论的时候我犯困,想睡。直到第三章开始一个一个列出人类可能灭绝的方式,外在因素(小行星撞地球啦,火山喷发啦这类),人类自己作死因素(气候变化——这个可能算混合双打;人类自造流行病啦,核冬天啦,人工智能啦。。。),简洁鲜明道来,甚至还给了个数字预测——下一个百年之内哪几个因素概率最大之类,我又觉得其实写的还不错。到最后一张充满幻想地期望人类踏过险滩,走向宇宙,走向无尽的未来——我竟然有... 看第一二章哲学讨论的时候我犯困,想睡。直到第三章开始一个一个列出人类可能灭绝的方式,外在因素(小行星撞地球啦,火山喷发啦这类),人类自己作死因素(气候变化——这个可能算混合双打;人类自造流行病啦,核冬天啦,人工智能啦。。。),简洁鲜明道来,甚至还给了个数字预测——下一个百年之内哪几个因素概率最大之类,我又觉得其实写的还不错。到最后一张充满幻想地期望人类踏过险滩,走向宇宙,走向无尽的未来——我竟然有点感动。尤其是看着每天糟心的世界新闻的时候,想想,这些也会过去,好多可能是噪声,如果类似作者那样,能找到like-minded people 一起(为人类未来)做点什么,大概生活也会觉得很过得去?——虽然也许我做不到,有人做得到,也很感动? (展开)
0 有用 Alice不是鲸鱼 2020-07-05 15:59:21
道理很简单,但叙述有点拖沓,果然哲学家写出来的东西很意识流
0 有用 所以然 2023-03-27 11:58:09 上海
长期主义贩卖焦虑
0 有用 DerLetzteLord 2022-04-21 09:54:04
This book argues that safeguarding humanity future is the defining challenge of our time.for we stand at a crucial moment in the history of our species.fueled by technological progress.our power has g... This book argues that safeguarding humanity future is the defining challenge of our time.for we stand at a crucial moment in the history of our species.fueled by technological progress.our power has grown so great that for the first time in humanity’s long history.we have the capacity to destroy ourselves-severing our entire future and everything . (展开)
0 有用 浮冰枕词 2021-10-09 10:19:26
行文是我喜欢的风格哈哈哈,枚举各种risks粗略了解一下还是挺有趣的
0 有用 Wendi 2021-01-10 10:26:24
希望可以更加深入
1 有用 镜花 2020-08-30 05:20:26
看第一二章哲学讨论的时候我犯困,想睡。直到第三章开始一个一个列出人类可能灭绝的方式,外在因素(小行星撞地球啦,火山喷发啦这类),人类自己作死因素(气候变化——这个可能算混合双打;人类自造流行病啦,核冬天啦,人工智能啦。。。),简洁鲜明道来,甚至还给了个数字预测——下一个百年之内哪几个因素概率最大之类,我又觉得其实写的还不错。到最后一张充满幻想地期望人类踏过险滩,走向宇宙,走向无尽的未来——我竟然有... 看第一二章哲学讨论的时候我犯困,想睡。直到第三章开始一个一个列出人类可能灭绝的方式,外在因素(小行星撞地球啦,火山喷发啦这类),人类自己作死因素(气候变化——这个可能算混合双打;人类自造流行病啦,核冬天啦,人工智能啦。。。),简洁鲜明道来,甚至还给了个数字预测——下一个百年之内哪几个因素概率最大之类,我又觉得其实写的还不错。到最后一张充满幻想地期望人类踏过险滩,走向宇宙,走向无尽的未来——我竟然有点感动。尤其是看着每天糟心的世界新闻的时候,想想,这些也会过去,好多可能是噪声,如果类似作者那样,能找到like-minded people 一起(为人类未来)做点什么,大概生活也会觉得很过得去?——虽然也许我做不到,有人做得到,也很感动? (展开)