The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers: Economic Change and Military Conflict From 1500 to 2000, by Paul Kennedy, first published in 1987, explores the politics and economics of the Great Powers from 1500 to 1980 and the reason for their decline. It then continues by forecasting the positions of China, Japan, the European Economic Community (EEC), the Soviet Union and the United...
The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers: Economic Change and Military Conflict From 1500 to 2000, by Paul Kennedy, first published in 1987, explores the politics and economics of the Great Powers from 1500 to 1980 and the reason for their decline. It then continues by forecasting the positions of China, Japan, the European Economic Community (EEC), the Soviet Union and the United States through the end of the 20th century
The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers的创作者
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Paul Kennedy, the J. Richardson Dilworth Professor of History, Director of International Security Studies at Yale, and Distinguished Fellow of the Brady-Johnson Program in Grand Strategy, coordinates the ISS programs funded by the Smith Richardson Foundation. He is internationally known for his writings and commentaries on globa...
Paul Kennedy, the J. Richardson Dilworth Professor of History, Director of International Security Studies at Yale, and Distinguished Fellow of the Brady-Johnson Program in Grand Strategy, coordinates the ISS programs funded by the Smith Richardson Foundation. He is internationally known for his writings and commentaries on global political, economic, and strategic issues.
Born in June 1945 in the northern English town of Wallsend, Northumberland, he obtained his BA at Newcastle University and his DPhil at the University of Oxford. He is a former Fellow of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Princeton University, and of the Alexander von Humboldt-Stiftung, Bonn. He holds many honorary degrees, and is a Fellow of the Royal Historical Society, the American Philosophical Society, and the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. He was made Commander of the Order of the British Empire (C.B.E.) in 2000 for services to History and elected a Fellow of the British Academy in June 2003.
He is on the editorial board of numerous scholarly journals and writes for The New York Times, The Atlantic, and many foreign-language newspapers and magazines. His monthly column on current global issues is distributed worldwide by the Los Angeles Times Syndicate/Tribune Media Services.
He is the author or editor of nineteen books, including The Rise of the Anglo-German Antagonism, The War Plans of the Great Powers, The Realities Behind Diplomacy, and Preparing for the Twenty-First Century. His best-known work is The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers (Random House), which provoked an intense debate on its publication in 1988 and has been translated into over twenty languages.
In 1991, he edited a collection entitled Grand Strategies in War and Peace. He helped draft the Ford Foundation-sponsored report issued in 1995, The United Nations in Its Second Half-Century, which was prepared for the fiftieth anniversary of the UN. His latest book, The Parliament of Man: The Past, Present and Future of the United Nations, was published in 2006 by Random House.
Prof. Kennedy has finished a book on operational history of the Second World War and is beginning a study of Rudyard Kipling.
目录
· · · · · ·
Strategy and Economics in the Preindustrial World
The Rise of the Western World
The Habsburg Bid for Mastery, 1519–1659
Finance, Geography, and the Winning of Wars, 1660–1815
Strategy and Economics in the Industrial Era
Industrialization and the Shifting Global Balances, 1815–1885
· · · · · ·
(更多)
Strategy and Economics in the Preindustrial World
The Rise of the Western World
The Habsburg Bid for Mastery, 1519–1659
Finance, Geography, and the Winning of Wars, 1660–1815
Strategy and Economics in the Industrial Era
Industrialization and the Shifting Global Balances, 1815–1885
The Coming of a Bipolar World and the Crisis of the "Middle Powers": Part One, 1885–1918
The Coming of a Bipolar World and the Crisis of the "Middle Powers": Part Two, 1919–1942
Strategy and Economics Today and Tomorrow
Stability and Change in a Bipolar World, 1943–1980
To the Twenty-first Century
· · · · · · (收起)
成了历史的PhD之后真的对这种说白了还是Eurocentrism的world history毫无感觉，甚至觉得很无聊。说白了就是那一套：其他任何地方都成为不了西欧和北美，因为它们总是缺了点啥。但是西欧和北美是注定的要成为西欧和北美。Where is the room for historical contingency？其实历史乱得跟八宝粥一样，哪有这么多线性的逻辑。。
成了历史的PhD之后真的对这种说白了还是Eurocentrism的world history毫无感觉，甚至觉得很无聊。说白了就是那一套：其他任何地方都成为不了西欧和北美，因为它们总是缺了点啥。但是西欧和北美是注定的要成为西欧和北美。Where is the room for historical contingency？其实历史乱得跟八宝粥一样，哪有这么多线性的逻辑。。
![[美国] 保罗·肯尼迪](https://img3.doubanio.com/img/author/medium/public/1548507186.63.jpg)
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0 有用 嘎嘎响 2013-08-05 17:46:28
简单的英文，经典的大历史叙述。值得反复阅读的经典。
0 有用 米洛克莱特 2021-07-28 11:42:48
重新读了其中的三章有点失望 这本自己曾经觉得是IR神作的书已经有点off了 不过毕竟是上世纪九十年代写的了…realist那套经济军事还有国家金融体系已经不足以撑起基本理论框架（虽然我还是把矛盾的自己看成一个realist…能思考的点就是现阶段的driving factor跟之前的军事和经济在功能上有无替代功能（本质上是不可能进行完美替换的）预感曾经自己觉得最扯的constructivist即将占... 重新读了其中的三章有点失望 这本自己曾经觉得是IR神作的书已经有点off了 不过毕竟是上世纪九十年代写的了…realist那套经济军事还有国家金融体系已经不足以撑起基本理论框架（虽然我还是把矛盾的自己看成一个realist…能思考的点就是现阶段的driving factor跟之前的军事和经济在功能上有无替代功能（本质上是不可能进行完美替换的）预感曾经自己觉得最扯的constructivist即将占领地球 (展开)
1 有用 余草 2022-02-02 11:41:53
成了历史的PhD之后真的对这种说白了还是Eurocentrism的world history毫无感觉，甚至觉得很无聊。说白了就是那一套：其他任何地方都成为不了西欧和北美，因为它们总是缺了点啥。但是西欧和北美是注定的要成为西欧和北美。Where is the room for historical contingency？其实历史乱得跟八宝粥一样，哪有这么多线性的逻辑。。
0 有用 Jason 2016-12-26 22:01:37
6%
0 有用 恍若隔世 2021-03-03 15:09:22
非常经典的书籍，书中对于未来的预测不完全对，但是点出了兴衰的本质：经济实力。遗憾的是太多人把兴衰看成了作战的能力，过多投入在军事上，反而导致了经济的衰落。
0 有用 Hildy at beach 2022-05-27 14:58:01
Every great power will fall, absolutely and relatively.
1 有用 余草 2022-02-02 11:41:53
成了历史的PhD之后真的对这种说白了还是Eurocentrism的world history毫无感觉，甚至觉得很无聊。说白了就是那一套：其他任何地方都成为不了西欧和北美，因为它们总是缺了点啥。但是西欧和北美是注定的要成为西欧和北美。Where is the room for historical contingency？其实历史乱得跟八宝粥一样，哪有这么多线性的逻辑。。
0 有用 狡兔三窟 2021-12-05 23:40:47
@2018-06-02 17:27:15
0 有用 米洛克莱特 2021-07-28 11:42:48
重新读了其中的三章有点失望 这本自己曾经觉得是IR神作的书已经有点off了 不过毕竟是上世纪九十年代写的了…realist那套经济军事还有国家金融体系已经不足以撑起基本理论框架（虽然我还是把矛盾的自己看成一个realist…能思考的点就是现阶段的driving factor跟之前的军事和经济在功能上有无替代功能（本质上是不可能进行完美替换的）预感曾经自己觉得最扯的constructivist即将占... 重新读了其中的三章有点失望 这本自己曾经觉得是IR神作的书已经有点off了 不过毕竟是上世纪九十年代写的了…realist那套经济军事还有国家金融体系已经不足以撑起基本理论框架（虽然我还是把矛盾的自己看成一个realist…能思考的点就是现阶段的driving factor跟之前的军事和经济在功能上有无替代功能（本质上是不可能进行完美替换的）预感曾经自己觉得最扯的constructivist即将占领地球 (展开)
0 有用 恍若隔世 2021-03-03 15:09:22
非常经典的书籍，书中对于未来的预测不完全对，但是点出了兴衰的本质：经济实力。遗憾的是太多人把兴衰看成了作战的能力，过多投入在军事上，反而导致了经济的衰落。