作者:
Hammond, John S.
/
Keeney, Ralph L.
/
Raiffa, Howard 出版社: Harvard Business Review Press 副标题: A Practical Guide to Making Better Decisions 出版年: 2015-8-25 页数: 256 装帧: 精装 ISBN: 9781633691049
Distinguish Smart Choices from Good Consequences
A smart choice, a bad consequence.
A poor choice, a good consequence.
Decisions under uncertainty should be judged by the quality of the decision making, not by the quality of the consequences. (查看原文)
...my way is to divide half a sheet of paper by a line into two columns; writing over the one pro, and over the other con. Then during three or four days consideration, I put down under the different heads short hints of the different motives, that at different times occur to me, for or against the measure.
When I have thus got them all together in one view, I endeavor to estimate their respective weights; and where I find two, one on each side, that seem equal, I strike them both out. If I find a reason pro equal to two reasons con, I strike out the three. If I judge some two reasons con, equal to some three reasons pro, I strike out the five; and thus proceeding I find at length where the balance lies; and if, after a day or two of further consideration, nothing new that is of importanc... (查看原文)
Smart Choice》 --A Practical Guide To Making Better Decisions By John S. Hammond, Ralph L. Keeney, Howard Raiffa 生活是选择的过程。如果您曾经因为面临抉择而左右为难、转辗难寐，曾经因为错误的选择而后悔不已，请阅读《Smart Choice》。这是一本好书，A Practical G...
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0 有用 老卢丁凯乐 2023-04-28 12:59:35 陕西
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0 有用 老卢丁凯乐 2023-04-28 12:59:35 陕西
非常棒